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Healthcare & Medicine

Medical Superintelligence

2025ResearchPublished: 24 October 2026Updated: 24 October 2026Published
Key innovation
Shifts the goal of medical AI from a single model to an orchestration of multiple models that, on hard NEJM-CPC cases, exceeds the diagnostic accuracy and cost-efficiency of generalist physicians.
Category
Healthcare & Medicine
Abstraction level
Paradigm
Operation level
SystemOrchestrationApplication
Use cases
Differential diagnosis of complex casesClinical decision supportDiagnostic test cost optimizationBenchmarking AI diagnostic capability

How it works

The demonstrated realization relies on an orchestrator (MAI-DxO) that simulates a panel of physicians: it proposes differential diagnoses, strategically selects high-value, cost-effective tests and iteratively queries a gatekeeper model that reveals findings only on request. Performance is measured not only by diagnostic accuracy but also by the cost of visits and tests. The approach is model-agnostic — it works with models from OpenAI, Google Gemini, Anthropic Claude, xAI Grok, DeepSeek and Meta Llama.

Problem solved

Most evaluations of language models in medicine rely on static vignettes and multiple-choice questions that fail to capture the iterative, cost-sensitive nature of real-world diagnosis. The concept addresses whether and how AI can match experts in a realistic, sequential diagnostic process.

Components

MAI Diagnostic OrchestratorOrchestrator simulating a panel of physicians

A model-agnostic orchestrator that proposes differential diagnoses and strategically selects high-value, cost-effective tests, running a sequential diagnostic process.

Sequential Diagnosis BenchmarkEvaluation benchmark

A benchmark that turns 304 challenging NEJM-CPC cases into stepwise diagnostic encounters with a gatekeeper model that reveals findings only on request; it scores both accuracy and cost.

Implementation

Implementation pitfalls
Atypically complex cases and a simulated gatekeeperHigh

Results were obtained on 304 challenging NEJM-CPC cases and with a simulated gatekeeper model; they are not representative of routine clinical practice and are not clinically validated.

Fix:Treat as a research demonstration; validation on representative data and in clinical settings is required before use.

Evolution

Original paper · 2025 · arXiv (preprint, Microsoft AI, 2025) · Harsha Nori
Sequential Diagnosis with Language Models
Harsha Nori, Mayank Daswani, Christopher Kelly, Scott Lundberg, Marco Tulio Ribeiro, Marc Wilson, Xiaoxuan Liu, Viknesh Sounderajah, Jonathan Carlson, Matthew P. Lungren, Bay Gross, Peter Hames
2025
Microsoft AI unveils MAI-DxO and the Sequential Diagnosis Benchmark and frames the path to medical superintelligence
Inflection point

MAI-DxO paired with OpenAI's o3 reaches 80% diagnostic accuracy (vs about 20% for generalist physicians) and lowers test costs; 85.5% in the maximum-accuracy mode.

Hyperparameters (configurable axes)

Base modelHigh

The language model powering the orchestrator; the approach is model-agnostic (e.g. o3, Gemini, Claude, Grok, DeepSeek, Llama).

OpenAI o380% accuracy on the Sequential Diagnosis Benchmark
Operating modeHigh

The trade-off between accuracy and test cost; the configuration tuned for maximum accuracy reaches 85.5%.

Maksymalna trafność85.5% diagnostic accuracy
Efektywny kosztowoabout 20% lower cost than physicians